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The 8 places in the UK now most at risk of Tier 3 lockdown

Written by on 17/10/2020

A new map shows two areas of Yorkshire that could face being placed under Tier 3 restrictions in the near future.

Sheffield as well as Leeds could be moved from Covid alert level “high” to “very high” (Tier 3) with local leaders currently discussing the situation with the government.

Sheffield currently has the 10th highest infection rate in England and the highest in Yorkshire.

Leeds was also said to be at risk of being moved into Tier 3 should Covid-19 cases continue to rise.

During talks between local leaders and the government on Friday, no discussion was held about whether or not tighter restrictions would be needed. The sides are due to meet again early next week.

New controls came into effect on Saturday, including Tier 3 restrictions in Lancashire and Tier 2 restrictions in places such as London, most of Essex and York.

Downing Street, meanwhile, is being urged to restart talks with Greater Manchester’s political leaders over the highest levels of coronavirus restrictions, amid warnings of rising deaths.

Both the Prime Minister and Labour have warned the situation in Greater Manchester is “grave”, while the region’s political leaders refuse to accept Tier 3 restrictions without greater financial support for businesses and residents.

But No 10 was understood to have not yet scheduled further talks for the weekend and Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham said there had been no meetings since Thursday morning.

The Covid Symptom Study app predicted the next ten areas that could face a Tier 3 lockdown based on the latest data.

Released before Lancashire’s move to Tier 3 was announced on Friday, the study had Burnley as most at risk.

It was followed by Manchester, Newcastle, Nottingham and Pendle, which is also in Lancashire.

Bury was sixth, while Hartlepool, Salford, Sheffield and Leeds rounded out the table.

Around 1.5 million more people woke up to Tier 3 restrictions when Lancashire joined the Liverpool region living under the severest controls, with pubs and bars closed unless they can serve meals and indoor mixing banned.

Tier 2 measures in London, Essex, York, Elmbridge, Barrow-in-Furness, North East Derbyshire, Erewash and Chesterfield mean people can no longer mix inside with those from other households, including in pubs and restaurants.

Wales also banned people in Tier 2 or 3 areas in England, as well as the central belt of Scotland and the whole of Northern Ireland, from entering as of 6pm on Friday.

And pubs, restaurants and cafes across Northern Ireland had to close their doors to sit-in customers.

What is the rate in my area?

Infection rates across Yorkshire continue to increase.

Sheffield continues to have the highest rate in Yorkshire with 445.6 cases of Covid-19 per 100,000 people.

The area recorded 2,606 new cases in the seven days to October 12 – up from 2,467 the week before.

While Leeds has recorded 3,139 confirmed infections, its infection rate is actually decreasing. The rate has dropped from 400.7 to 395.8.

Most other areas in South, West and North Yorkshire saw their infection rates rise with the exception of Craven and Richmondshire.

These are the rolling seven-day rates for every local authority area in Yorkshire.

From left to right, it reads: name of local authority; rate of new cases in the seven days to October 12; number (in brackets) of new cases recorded in the seven days to October 12; rate of new cases in the seven days to October 5; number (in brackets) of new cases recorded in the seven days to October 5.

  • Sheffield 445.6 (2,606), 421.8 (2,467) ↑
  • Leeds 395.8 (3,139), 400.7 (3,178) ↓
  • Bradford 347.7 (1,877), 293.5 (1,584) ↑
  • Barnsley 322.4 (796), 165.3 (408) ↑
  • Rotherham 295.0 (783), 221.9 (589) ↑
  • Middlesbrough 290.8 (410), 252.5 (356) ↑
  • York 276.3 (582), 206.5 (435) ↑
  • Kirklees 255.1 (1122), 207.8 (914) ↑
  • Wakefield 251.5 (876), 175.4 (611) ↑
  • Calderdale 241.7 (511), 192.5 (407) ↑
  • Doncaster 226.0 (705), 154.9 (483) ↑
  • Redcar and Cleveland 210.7 (289), 179.4 (246) ↑
  • Selby 162.2 (147), 99.3 (90) ↑
  • Harrogate 159.2 (256), 133.7 (215) ↑
  • Craven 148.8 (85), 173.3 (99) ↓
  • Hambleton 140.8 (129), 109.2 (100) ↑
  • East Riding of Yorkshire 136.6 (466), 114.3 (390) ↑
  • Hull 110.9 (288), 102.8 (267) ↑
  • Scarborough 108.5 (118), 98.4 (107) ↑
  • Ryedale 106.5 (59), 104.7 (58) ↑
  • Richmondshire 106.1 (57), 113.5 (61) ↓

The figures, for the seven days to October 12, are based on tests carried out in laboratories (pillar one of the Government’s testing programme) and in the wider community (pillar two).

Data for the most recent four days (October 13-16) has been excluded as it is incomplete and does not reflect the true number of cases.

The list has been calculated by the PA news agency and is based on Public Health England data published on October 16 on the government’s coronavirus dashboard.